Gold cleared the 1680 major support yesterday. The market opened near 1697, and the price had already sunk below 1690(1) early in the Asian session. Before the US session got active, it bounced between 1685-90. Once it cleared the critical support supprot later in the US session, the price went to a new 2-year low near 1660. The day ended at 1664, down by USD 32.
Gold finally escaped the 1690-1730(3) range yesterday, with an initial expectation of a 1:1 movement; the following trading range should be between 1650-90(3). The S-T trend will remain downward unless the price can jump above the S-T resistance line(2) that we mentioned yesterday. The S-T downside target can be set at 1650 for now.
The overall structure shifted from previously sideway to downward for now, as it is the first time in 2 years that the gold price closed below 1695. Expect the price to stay bearish until the US Fed. Meeting next week.
Unless the price can climb above 1700 in the next 2-3 weeks, a double-top pattern(4) in the weekly chart will be formed. The price is currently running in Wave 5(5), expecting the bottom to occur around the US Fed. Meeting.
S-T Resistances:
1680
1670
1665
Market price: 1660
S-T Supports:
1650-52
1645
1640
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